Your Meta ROAS Will Look Worse This Black Friday
32 min
Question: How should you change your Meta ads plan for Black Friday 2026? Direct answer: Expect Black Friday Meta ads to report worse than last year even when sales hold, because Meta now counts only link clicks as click-through conversions and moved saves, shares, comments and video views into engage-through attribution. Set Black Friday targets against aMER (new customer revenue divided by ad spend) using this year's ratio to Meta-reported ROAS, make same-day decisions from aMER and your MTA rather than Ads Manager, and don't change attribution settings or debut new Meta tools during the sale. Assume the budget you set is not the budget that spends, keep new and returning customers in separate campaigns, and launch your real offer at least two weeks before Black Friday. Black Friday Meta ads are going to report worse this year than last, even ifyour sales hold, because Meta changed how it counts click-through conversionsin 2026. Andrew Foxwell and Brad Ploch break down everything that changed sincelast November: the new attribution rules, how to set Black Friday targets withaMER instead of Meta-reported ROAS, four Meta settings to handle carefully overthe weekend, and why the 2026 calendar will throw off your comps. We discuss: - The 2026 Black Friday calendar: a 21-day window and why Friday, Dec 11 matters- Why Cyber Monday back in November breaks month-by-month comps- Meta's click attribution change: link clicks only, engage-through for the rest- How to set Black Friday targets with aMER, not Meta-reported ROAS- Why Ads Manager can't steer your spend on Black Friday day- Meta's rolling budget option and the weekend overspend risk- The new customer acquisition setting vs separate new and returning campaigns- Flex ads, incrementality and why Black Friday isn't the time to test- Black Friday creative under Andromeda and GEM- Offers, VIP early access, agentic commerce and the Black Friday don'ts Get the Scalability School newsletter (free, short, no spam):https://ww...